MarkBurgman Professor Mark Burgman

Conservation science: the state of play

Conservation science, while still relatively young, has already gone through several methodological revolutions. The earliest was the deployment of stochastic population viability models to guide management decisions. Conservation science led many other disciplines in this area, and to some extent it still leads. The most recent revolutions involve the idea of complementarity in conservation planning, and the growing use of economic tools such as the rate of return on investments and the value of information. Revolution naturally entrains resistance, and there are many examples of reactions to change. So, what’s next? This presentation outlines some emerging methodologies and technologies and discusses their potential to engender future revolutions.


Professor, Environmental Science
Director, Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis (ACERA)
Editor in Chief, Conservation Biology


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